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Morocco is one of the North African countries where signs of disengagement or decoupling from the European Union EU in the past decade have been most ostensible, and most strikingly at odds with the prior historical trajectory. In fact, what we have seen so far is a primarily political-normative detachment that has manifested itself more at a discursive and diplomatic level than in strictly material terms, given that the high levels of bilateral economic inter dependence have barely changed.
As a result, at the moment, the Morocco-EU relationship is characterised by an increasingly overt transactional approach from both sides. Each party has its own security and sovereignty anxieties Western Sahara for Rabat and anti-migration for Brussels as well as renewed strategic motivations to sustain and deepen economic interdependence a revised national development model and supply chain resilience, respectively.
Altogether, all these forces pull in converging directions to ensure the stability of the bilateral relationship — except, to some extent, for the Western Sahara conflict. Morocco has undergone concomitant crises concerning public health, employment, social insurance, inflation, food security and a historic drought, all with immediate negative effects on a precarious social contract.
While Morocco remains heavily dependent on the northern bloc in terms of both trade and finance, there seems to be little appetite in Rabat for resuming the negotiations of a bilateral Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area DCFTA , which were launched in and adjourned one year later.
This is due to the anticipated costs of adapting to growing EU regulation and standards of all sorts, including on environmental aspects, which are seen as disguised neo-protectionism. By contrast, on the financial front, a potential migration deal with the EU , along the lines of those recently concluded with Tunisia, Mauritania and Egypt, could be a more straightforward and sizeable opportunity for Morocco to secure boosted support grants and loans , and one with fewer strings attached besides migration containment itself.